Friday, May 06, 2022

Climate simulations: recognize the ‘hot model’ problem

The heavy reliance on up to 100 year project/simulations from climate models that underpin the Global Warming Hoax/Climate Change Religion has been a strong indicator of pseudoscience if not junk science!

"Science" is clearly being abused for political purposes and ideology driven! Too many scientists are willingly taking part in this politicization!

The backcasting performance (e.g. reconstructing the Common Era) is dismal!

Remember: Regional weather forecasts are not reliable beyond 48 hours and often not even for 24 hours. Don't be fooled, the complexity of weather and climate is similar!

Is it not remarkable that it appears none of the climate models in use forecast any cooling in the decades ahead? Or were these projections deliberately omitted?

"... For example, instead of assessing changes in rainfall by the year 2100, researchers could report changes at global warming levels of 1.5, 2, 3 and 4 °C. This has several advantages. It mirrors the policy discourse surrounding the Paris agreement targets of 1.5 °C and ‘well below 2 °C’. It is also largely independent of the choice of future emissions scenario — despite some differences related to the rate of warming and aerosol forcing, the world largely looks the same at 2 °C, no matter how we get there. ...
Global warming levels force a simple question: when will the world reach a given level of warming? ..."

Climate simulations: recognize the ‘hot model’ problem The sixth and latest IPCC assessment weights climate models according to how well they reproduce other evidence. Now the rest of the community should do the same.



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