Showing posts with label Santa Fe Institute. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Santa Fe Institute. Show all posts

Monday, December 22, 2025

New mathematical framework reshapes debate over universe simulation hypothesis. Really!

Amazing stuff! I have wondered/speculated myself multiple times for several decades if not the universe is an aquarium created by some intelligent beings. See e.g. my 2020 blog post here. I blogged here in late October about a research paper that claimed to have a mathematical proof of impossibility of a computer simulation.

Has somebody already verified the proof for this mathematical framework? 

How can a universe like ours be defined mathematically beyond physics? The study is from the perspective of computer science according to the title. This is a serious limitation, because we do not know what other intelligent beings are capable of!

The second serious limitation is that the author assumes the simulation is run by humans.

In my opinion, it is not clear from the abstract of this paper what the conclusion of the researcher is if any. Remains kind of nebulous!

The author David H. Wolpert has accumulated 47166 citations over his lifetime covering about 400 publications (great, but not impressive unless he is a niche researcher). However, about 63% of all citations are attributed to only two of his papers he published in 2002 and 1992. This professor is perhaps not exactly an Albert Einstein.

Caveat: I did not read the paper.

"The simulation hypothesis — the idea that our universe might be an artificial construct running on some advanced alien computer — has long captured the public imagination."

"The simulation hypothesis — the idea that our universe might be an artificial construct running on some advanced alien computer — has long captured the public imagination. ...

A new paper ... aims to change that. ... introduces the first mathematically precise framework for what it would mean for one universe to simulate another — and shows that several longstanding claims about simulations break down once the concept is defined rigorously. His results point to a far stranger landscape than previous arguments suggest, including the possibility that a universe capable of simulating another could itself be perfectly reproduced inside that very simulation. ..."

From the abstract:
"The simulation hypothesis has recently excited renewed interest in the physics and philosophy communities. However, the hypothesis specifically concerns computers that simulate physical universes. So to formally investigate the hypothesis, we need to understand it in terms of computer science (CS) theory.
In addition we need a formal way to couple CS theory with physics. Here I couple those fields by using the physical Church–Turing thesis. This allow me to exploit Kleene’s second recursion, to prove that not only is it possible for us to be a simulation being run on a computer, but that we might be in a simulation that is being run on a computer – by us.
In such a ‘self-simulation’, there would be two identical instances of us, both equally ‘real’. I then use Rice’s theorem to derive impossibility results concerning simulation and self-simulation; derive implications for (self-)simulation if we are being simulated in a program using fully homomorphic encryption; and briefly investigate the graphical structure of universes simulating other universes which contain computers running their own simulations.
I end by describing some of the possible avenues for future research. While motivated in terms of the simulation hypothesis, the results in this paper are direct consequences of the Church–Turing thesis. So they apply far more broadly than the simulation hypothesis."


New mathematical framework reshapes debate over simulation hypothesis | Santa Fe Institute

Sunday, January 31, 2021

An avalanche of violence: New analysis reveals predictable patterns in armed conflicts

Recommendable! Towards a more peaceful world!

"... present a new model using data from armed conflict in Africa that explains how conflicts spread over a geographic region. More technically, the model describes the scale-free ways that clusters of violent interactions grow and spread over time and space. ...
“Your intuition says each of these conflicts should be a consequence of specific social and cultural dynamics,” ... “but then you do the analyses and you find that in fact these seemingly different conflicts are characterized by the same patterns.” ...
discovered the general patterns by looking at how an initial event spreads and ignites conflicts in other regions. ... likens these “conflict avalanches” to well-known cascades in nature. If you add enough sand to a pile, for example, the sides will eventually become so steep that a single new grain can create an avalanche. By virtue of collapse, however, the slope flattens and allows another build-up. ...
These cascade dynamics might seem to explain large variation among conflict outbreaks, with some petering out quickly and others generating long-lasting conflagrations. ... in their work, have also found it essential to account for regional variation. Not only is conflict much more frequent and intense in some regions compared to others, the spatial variation in intensity may itself follow a scaling law. ..."

"Armed conflict data display features consistent with scaling and universal dynamics in both social and physical properties like fatalities and geographic extent. We propose a randomly branching armed conflict model to relate the multiple properties to one another. ...
We show how this approach akin to thermodynamics imparts mechanistic intuition and unifies multiple conflict properties, giving insight into causation, prediction, and intervention timing."

An avalanche of violence: New analysis reveals predictable patterns in armed conflicts | Santa Fe Institute

Here is the link to the referenced paper: