Showing posts with label population. Show all posts
Showing posts with label population. Show all posts

Monday, April 06, 2026

Global human population is pushing Earth past its breaking point. Really!

Such or similar false apocalyptic claims have been made frequently for the past 50 years or so!

Human ingenuity has already defeated many of those and other apocalyptic claims in the past!

Look at the chart below, this is primitive trend extrapolation. Yes, the growth of human population since about 1800 AD was extreme and a miracle, but it will not continue like this!

This is superstition, not science! Alarmism and hysteria! Perhaps very lucrative for these pseudo scientists behind this study!

When scientists call for authoritarian central government watch out!

I am not sure why any journal today would publish such rubbish again!

Actually, world population may even decrease over the next several decades. The population of e.g. China and Japan is already shrinking. E.g. Germany's German population may also be shrinking. I bet also India's population growth is already slowing and so on.

"Earth has already exceeded its ability to support the global population sustainably, with new research warning of increasing pressure on food security, climate stability, and human well-being. However, slowing population growth and raising global awareness could still offer humanity some hope. ..."

From the abstract:
"The ecological concept of human carrying capacity is necessarily complicated because human beings are the ‘ultimate ecosystem engineers’ who moderate the environment for their benefit.
For at least the last few hundred years, human ingenuity, access to massive stocks of fossil fuels, and technological development have driven facilitation whereby increasing human abundance has promoted higher population growth rates.
However, this positive relationship broke down during the 1950s, and by 1962, the global human population entered a phase where the growth rate consistently declined as population increased.
The onset of this negative phase occurred 8 years before a global biocapacity deficit began in 1970. The onset of the negative phase also varies regionally, with the lowest-income and highest fertility regions entering this phase later than higher-income regions.
A Ricker logistic model fitted to the negative phase predicts that the global population could reach 11.7–12.4 billion people between 2067 and 2076. The same model fitted to the facilitation phase predicts a maximum population of 2.5 billion people that Earth might be able to maintain [???]. 
The negative phase also correlates strongly with the trend in global temperature anomaly, ecological footprint, and total emissions, with more of their variation explained by increasing population size rather than increasing per-capita consumption.
The Earth cannot sustain the future human population, or even today’s, without a major overhaul of socio-cultural practices [???] for using land, water, energy, biodiversity, and other resources."

Global human population is pushing Earth past its breaking point

Global human population has surpassed Earth's sustainable carrying capacity


Figure 1. Global human population size from 1000 to present (main figure) and from 1800 to present




Saturday, November 01, 2025

How China’s engineering mindset has shaped its modern infrastructure and society

Recommendable! However, the studio guest Dan Wang did not question the communist party of China nor did he suggest that Western democracy ought to be introduced in China. He recommended the government of China to become more lawyerly like the US. A little strange!
But he did mention the 300 million abortions and 100 million sterilizations of women during the one child policy.

Friday, August 08, 2025

Arizona School Districts’ Empty public school Buildings and Empty Buses due to declining school age population and private schools

Demography is destiny! What a dramatic change in school age population attending public schools!

"... But the tide has turned. Since 2008, district school enrollment has steadily declined, and the decline is accelerating.
Enrollment dropped another 5% since 2019 alone – in contrast to the growth mindset that once defined the system. Meanwhile, educational choice has reshaped the landscape: 40% of incoming kindergarteners now opt for charter or private schools, despite smaller facilities, leaner staffs, and a lack of formal transportation options. Despite this shift, district schools have doubled down on expansion, adding 499 new buildings and boosting gross square footage by 3% in just the last five years. Today, Arizona’s public district schools have 78 million square feet of ‘excess’ space. ..."

There are similar trends in other US states too. What about other Western countries?

Arizona School Districts’ Empty Buildings and Empty Buses








Thursday, October 24, 2024

Ukraine: Population dropped by 10 million since Russia annexed Crimea in 2014

Bad news! Ukraine's population has dropped precipitously since independence in 1960.

"... The number of Ukrainian refugees has now reached 6.7 million and, since Russia’s invasion in 2014, Ukraine’s population has declined by over 10 million, a substantial loss of human capital necessary for the country’s recovery, she added.

Ukraine is already facing significant demographic challenges and has seen its birth rate plummet to one child per woman, the lowest in Europe. ..."


Global Health NOW: Lebanese Hospitals on Alert; Malaria Becomes ‘Ancient History’ in Egypt; and Switching Sides on the Tobacco Fight





Saturday, August 24, 2024

The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Think. Really!

This propaganda and demagoguery about population is sickening and so primitive! More alarmism and hysteria! Humbug!

Demography is destiny, but not by simplistic population growth! Demography has been abused so many times in history: more taxpayers, more recruitment of better soldiers, racism etc. etc.

Less world human population might not be so bad for out planet and natural environment after it surged beginning 1950 from under 3 billion to now 8 billion humans roaming Earth. 

Improved and further improving longevity will also contribute to slow down any population decline.

In the coming age of machine learning & artificial intelligence (AI) we depend less on extraordinary smart people to improve our future.

"... Last year was the first time in human history that the global fertility rate fell below the replacement level. ...
Ehrlich, like many others, got it wrong. What he needed to worry about was declining birth rates and population collapse. ..."

The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Think



Monday, August 12, 2024

Will mass immigration divide Europe?

There is a good chance for that!

Some countries including the UK have allowed for basically unchecked mass immigration.

Other countries control their border and are defensive.

Historically, mass movements of populations had serious effects!

Friday, August 02, 2024

Could remote work and more flexible work arrangements facilitate a new baby boom?

And boost child labor? Child labor has at least two different meanings. Both might apply. Just kidding!

Shrinking populations give birth to all kinds of ideas to address lower fertility rates! 😊

Feminists may call that a woman as birth machine approach!

"A Yale-led study, supported by a new university grant program, is exploring whether policies that increase opportunities for remote work could be an effective remedy for declining birth rates."

"By 2050, more than 75% of countries in the world will not produce enough babies to replace their populations, according to a study published this spring in The Lancet. By 2100, 97% of countries will have an insufficient fertility rate to replace their population, while low-income countries will continue to experience relatively high fertility rates. ...
Policies aimed at increasing immigration from low-income countries have proven politically unpopular. Providing financial incentives for childbirth has been expensive and not feasible. ...
Zang, an assistant professor of sociology, biostatistics, and global affairs. “But perhaps we can encourage more women to give birth through more flexible work arrangements so they can more easily integrate their careers and family.” ..."

Boosting Fertility with Remote Work: ISPS and MacMillan Center Introduce Grants for Studies on Global and Domestic Issues | Institution for Social and Policy Studies

Thursday, March 21, 2024

How much is the daily indoctrination with climate change responsible for sinking birth rates in Western countries?

I bet it could have a very significant influence especially e.g. in Germany, where climate change insanity is very widespread and intense!

Why would young people wish to procreate when the apocalypse is upon them!

Thursday, December 07, 2023

Matchmaking organised by the local government in South Korea?

Concerning! Will that help?

This is extremely low! Replacement-level fertility rate is about 2.1. The OECD average rate is 1.58 per member country.