Is it a reasonable speculation about the obsolescence of navy submarines going forward! Most likely yes in the age of drone warfare!
Possibly soon, autonomous, maritime drones can monitor any ocean at any depth for submarines. Other autonomous, maritime drones can follow manned submarines and destroy them when necessary.
This development also questions any current nuclear deterrence strategy based on ballistic missiles launched from submarines with nuclear weapons.
Such drones do not need oxygen, food supplies, nor lavatories!
Major technical challenges:
- How to receive signals from those autonomous maritime drones
- How to send a signal to those maritime drones to destroy a navy submarine
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