If it will take Huawei up to five years to catch up, then these sanctions are kind of effective. I have my doubts it will take them that long!
Impressive progress by Huawei!
"Huawei Technologies on Monday said it has found a new way to design chips to bring its semiconductor capabilities close to those of global chipmakers Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Intel, as China's tech champion continues working to overcome U.S. sanctions that have cut it off from top-tier global suppliers. ..."
"... the Tau (τ) Scaling Law, a new principle for guiding the future development of the semiconductor industry. This law proposes replacing geometric scaling with time (τ) scaling as a new guiding principle for the evolution of both semiconductors and electronic systems.
Based on this principle, innovative technologies such as LogicFolding can be used to continuously compress signal propagation delay and steadily improve transistor density, which will drive the ongoing evolution of semiconductors and electronic systems. ...
HUAWEI's application of the τ Scaling Law to smartphones and AI computing. Over the past six years, HUAWEI has designed and mass-produced 381 chips based on the τ Scaling Law, serving a wide range of industries, sectors, and markets.
The Kirin chips scheduled to launch in Fall 2026 will be the first ever to adopt the LogicFolding architecture, which will considerably enhance the chips' performance.
By 2031, the high-end chips HUAWEI designs based on the τ Scaling Law are expected to feature a transistor density that is equivalent to 14 Å (1.4 nm) processes. ..."
HUAWEI Presents the Tau (τ) Scaling Law, Enabling Breakthroughs in Transistor Density and System Performance (I believe, this is the underlying news release by Huawei)
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