Wednesday, October 09, 2024

20th-century gains in human life expectancy are slowing down in 10 wealthy countries or the Implausibility of radical life extension in the twenty-first century. Really!

What a nonsense! You got to love alarmism and hysteria! Of course, several news media lapped up this incredible story!

Just the title of the study (see below) is already ridiculous! I am not sure why this study was accepted for publication! It pretends to forecast the 21st century!!!

Just the fact that we are at the cusp of the AI revolution tells you that healthy longevity probably well beyond 100 years is within reach in the next 10-20 years.

I bet, cancer will be history in about 10-15 years! 

"20th-century gains in human life expectancy are slowing down—rising only six and a half years since 1990, per a Nature Aging study of 10 wealthy countries, hinting that the human lifespan is reaching a limit. The Independent"

From the abstract:
"Over the course of the twentieth century, human life expectancy at birth rose in high-income nations by approximately 30 years, largely driven by advances in public health and medicine. Mortality reduction was observed initially at an early age and continued into middle and older ages. However, it was unclear whether this phenomenon and the resulting accelerated rise in life expectancy would continue into the twenty-first century. Here using demographic survivorship metrics from national vital statistics in the eight countries with the longest-lived populations (Australia, France, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland) and in Hong Kong and the United States from 1990 to 2019, we explored recent trends in death rates and life expectancy. We found that, since 1990, improvements overall in life expectancy have decelerated. Our analysis also revealed that resistance to improvements in life expectancy increased while lifespan inequality declined and mortality compression occurred. Our analysis suggests that survival to age 100 years is unlikely to exceed 15% for females and 5% for males, altogether suggesting that, unless the processes of biological aging can be markedly slowed, radical human life extension is implausible in this century."

Global Health NOW: Transportation Justice in Music City; The New Fight Against Fistula; and Health Workers Traumatized With Nowhere to Turn

No comments: