Thursday, March 13, 2025

MIT Study: Climate change will reduce the number of satellites that can safely orbit in space. Really!

The demagogues of climate change are becoming more and more desperate! Including, regrettably the Massachusetts Institute of Technology!

When arguments get more and more absurd!

Next thing we will learn is that stars will fall from the sky, because of CO2 emissions! 😊

Notice again, these charlatans/demagogues also use computer simulation up to the year 2100! Sounds familiar!

"... In a study appearing today in Nature Sustainability, the researchers report that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases can cause the upper atmosphere to shrink. An atmospheric layer of special interest is the thermosphere, where the International Space Station and most satellites orbit today. When the thermosphere contracts, the decreasing density reduces atmospheric drag — a force that pulls old satellites and other debris down to altitudes where they will encounter air molecules and burn up. ...

The team carried out simulations of how carbon emissions affect the upper atmosphere and orbital dynamics, in order to estimate the “satellite carrying capacity” of low Earth orbit. These simulations predict that by the year 2100, the carrying capacity of the most popular regions could be reduced by 50-66 percent due to the effects of greenhouse gases. ..."

From the abstract:
"Anthropogenic contributions of greenhouse gases in Earth’s atmosphere have been observed to cause cooling and contraction in the thermosphere, which is projected to continue for many decades. This contraction results in a secular reduction in atmospheric mass density where most satellites operate in low Earth orbit. Decreasing density reduces drag on debris objects and extends their lifetime in orbit, posing a persistent collision hazard to other satellites and risking the cascading generation of more debris.
This work uses projected CO2 emissions from the shared socio-economic pathways to investigate the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on the satellite carrying capacity of low Earth orbit. The instantaneous Kessler capacity is introduced to compute the maximum number and optimal distribution of characteristic satellites that keep debris populations in stable equilibrium. Modelled CO2 emissions scenarios from years 2000–2100 indicate a potential 50–66% reduction in satellite carrying capacity between the altitudes of 200 and 1,000 km. Considering the recent, rapid expansion in the number of satellites in low Earth orbit, understanding environmental variability and its impact on sustainable operations is necessary to prevent over-exploitation of the region."

Study: Climate change will reduce the number of satellites that can safely orbit in space | MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology "Increasing greenhouse gas emissions will reduce the atmosphere’s ability to burn up old space junk, MIT scientists report."



Fig. 1: Long-term density reductions from thermosphere contraction. (Is it not peculiar that they don't show historical data before 2000? What are they hiding?)


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