Seems to be a junk study by preeminent institutions like Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, New York University and others! Alarmism and hysteria! Or a crass attempt to obtain more government funding!
Then we have the equity propaganda and demagoguery included! Plus the racist bigotry mixed in that Black Americans [black spelled with capital B] are systematically disadvantaged.
Given the fact of accelerating progess in medical treatment such studies are obviously obsolescent and a waste of resources and money!
"... ~One million Americans a year are expected to develop Alzheimer’s or other forms of dementia by 2060—up from half a million this year, per NYU Langone Health, one of several collaborating institutions on the study of 15,043 people from 1987 to 2020. ...
Risk-reducing route:
Address racial inequities in health care. ..."
From the abstract:
"Understanding the lifetime risk of dementia can inform public health planning and improve patient engagement in prevention. Using data from a community-based, prospective cohort study (n = 15,043; 26.9% Black race, 55.1% women and 30.8% with at least one apolipoprotein E4 (APOE ε4) allele), we estimated the lifetime risk of dementia (from age 55 years to 95 years), with mortality treated as a competing event. We applied lifetime risk estimates to US Census projections to evaluate the annual number of incident dementia cases from 2020 to 2060. The lifetime risk of dementia after age 55 years was 42% (95% confidence interval: 41–43). Rates were substantially higher in women, Black adults and APOE ε4 carriers, with lifetime risks ranging from approximately 45% to 60% in these populations. The number of US adults who will develop dementia each year was projected to increase from approximately 514,000 in 2020 to approximately 1 million in 2060. The relative growth in new dementia cases was especially pronounced for Black adults. These results highlight the urgent need for policies that enhance healthy aging, with a focus on health equity."
Lifetime risk and projected burden of dementia (no public access)
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