Tuesday, August 17, 2021

How infectious or deadly is actually SARS-CoV-2/Covid-19?

Relative to the total world population only less than 2.7% were infected at most according to official numbers after 18 months of spreading (under 209 million cases, under 7.8 billion inhabitants). This is not really a whole lot! This does not at all justify all the panic and hysteria or all the government mandated restrictions after over 4.5 billion vaccine doses have already been administered globally!

For the U.S. we have 11.1% infected population over the same time period (36.7 million cases and 330 million population).

For Sweden (a country widely criticized for its laissez fair approach) with 1.11 million cases and 10.2 million population has a 10.9% overall infection rate.

For Germany, it is 4.6% infected (3.8 million cases and 83 million population).

Some of the unknowns here are e.g. how many cases were not reported and whether diagnostic tests are too sensitive and result in too many positives.

Thus, it appears that either the infectiousness of the pandemic or the extraordinary low mortality rate of the pandemic is significantly exaggerated! Latter can be explained if we assume that the case numbers are generally underreported, which would further reduce the anyway low mortality rate (roughly 2-3% of total population)!

I blogged here that the U.S. and Germany have already attained herd immunity some time ago.

I blogged here how low the mortality rates are for the U.S. (0.15%) and the world as a hole (0.03%).

Some food for thought!

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