Wednesday, January 26, 2022

Recent Russia & China alliance is a Force Multiplier for China's Taiwan Strategy

Very concerning! The West needs to form better alliances to counter like with India, Australia, or countries of Southeast Asia!

Is the Russia gamble about an invasion of Ukraine a deliberate diversion so that China can follow through on its intent to invade Taiwan?

"... “Beijing and Moscow, once bitter adversaries, now cooperate on military issues, cyber security, high technology, and in outer space, among other areas. While it falls short of an alliance, the deepening Sino-Russian partnership confounds US strategists.” While this collaboration does not represent a formal alliance like NATO—and scholars remain averse to characterizing this relationship thusly—this author has and continues to maintain that it is an alliance in fact

The nature of the Russia-China alliance has confounded experts and policymakers alike. Nevertheless, this alliance’s qualities and ambitions are visible, and have been particularly manifested in the military sphere. Indeed, People’s Republic of China (PRC) Foreign Minister Wang Yi recently proclaimed that Russia and China can work together to maintain global order. While few have endeavored to ascertain Russia’s potential role in China’s Taiwan strategy, Russia actually offers numerous advantages to China in its unrelenting campaign to “reincorporate” Taiwan. Therefore, in regards to Taiwan, Russia is a force multiplier for China. ...
Although Moscow rarely comments on Taiwan, it did so in October 2021 when Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stated that, “Russia, like the overwhelming majority of other countries, considers Taiwan to be part of the People’s Republic of China […] We have proceeded and will proceed from this premise in our foreign policy.” Similarly, Moscow also supports Beijing on key issues of Asian security beyond Taiwan, maintaining staunch opposition to US efforts to strengthen cohesion among India, Australia, and Japan (under the concept of the “The Quad”), as well as mechanisms like the Australia-United States-United Kingdom (AUKUS) collaboration on maritime security. In general, Moscow apparently strives to weaken the U.S. network of allies in Asia.  ...
Russo-Chinese coordination is strongest in the military sphere, a fact that has duly triggered foreign apprehension regarding possible concerted action against the United States and its allies in Asia and Europe via simultaneous probes directed against both Taiwan and Ukraine. Bilateral support from the two militaries for the alliance has grown steadily and has proven to be durable. Moreover, Russian elites very much favor enhanced collaboration. ..."

Russia: China’s Force Multiplier for Its Taiwan Strategy

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