Just Another Word For Micro-Management Or
Meddling
In a recent Wall Street
Journal Opinion page piece titled “John
H. Cochrane: The Danger of an All-Powerful Federal Reserve/'Macroprudential'
policy thinkers want central banks to micromanage the entire financial system.”
(subscribers only) by John H. Cochrane published on 8/27/2013.
In this article we are
referred to a recent IMF paper by the title “Macroprudential
Policy: An Organizing Framework” published in March 2011.
To quote from the IMF paper
Macroprudential Policy is (emphasis added):
“Macroprudential policy seeks
to limit systemic, or system-wide, financial risk. Defining elements of
macroprudential policy are its objective, its scope of analysis (the financial
system as a whole and its interactions with the real economy), its set of powers
and instruments, and their governance (prudential tools and those specifically
assigned to macroprudential authorities). Macroprudential policy is a
complement to microprudential policy and it interacts with other types of
public policy that have an impact on systemic
financial stability.”
Financial stability is an
oxymoron. Economies and their financial systems are dynamic systems.
A Bit Of History
From Wikipedia we
learn “As documented by Clement (2010), the term "macroprudential"
was first used in the late 1970s in unpublished documents of the Cooke
Committee (the precursor of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision) and the
Bank of England.”
Since we know that the so
called Basel Accords are a major contributing factor for the Financial Crisis
of 2008 and subsequent Great Recession, because e.g. mortgage and sovereign
debt were declared safe, we should remain very skeptical. I previously blogged
about this subject here.
Can Handle The Next Financial Crisis Is Foolish
The author of the above
mentioned WSJ article correctly pointed out that “central banks don’t have a
great track record of diagnosing what they later considered “bubbles” and “systematic
risks”. The Fed didn’t act on the tech bubble of the 19990s or the real estate
bubble of the last decade. European bank regulators didn’t notice that
sovereign debts might pose a problem.”
Had the Fed simply enforced a
minimum 10% down payment rule for the purchase of any residential home (like in
Canada), then very likely there would not have been such a real estate bubble.
Had the Fed not pursued such a
reckless low interest rate policy for too long, there would not have been a
real estate meltdown. And the Fed is a repeat offender under Bernanke!
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