Sunday, December 25, 2022

Extended drought period encouraged Attila’s Huns to attack the Roman empire around in 4th-5th century common era

Amazing stuff!

Was there possibly another warm period before the well known Medieval Warm Period (ca. 950-1250 CE)?
If yes, it has apparently not been registered or recorded in the official climate history.

Further, if confirmed, this would be more evidence for the Global Warming Hoax and Climate Change Religion! Two Warm Periods in the last 2100 years, both occurring before the preindustrial age to which the climate demagogues so fondly refer! 

It appears there were other long lasting severe drought periods in the climate history record of the last 2100 years predating the industrial age. I don't have the time to research. Unfortunately, it does not occur to some scientists to investigate drought and atmospheric temperature together! For some reason, they investigate drought, but not concurrent temperature!

From the abstract:
"The Hunnic incursions into eastern and central Europe in the 4th and 5th c. CE have historically been considered one of the key factors in bringing the Roman Empire to an end. However, both the origins of the Huns and their impact on the late Roman provinces remain poorly understood. Here we provide a new, combined assessment of the archaeological, historical, and environmental evidence. Hunnic raids and warfare within the Roman provinces are most intensely attested for the first half of the 5th c. We propose that severe drought spells in the 430s to 450s CE disrupted the economic organization of the incomers and local provincial populations, requiring both to adopt strategies to buffer against economic challenges. We argue that the Huns’ apparently inexplicable violence may have been one strategy for coping with climatic extremes within a wider context of the social and economic changes that occurred at the time."

Drought encouraged Attila’s Huns to attack the Roman empire, tree rings suggest | University of Cambridge Hunnic peoples migrated westward across Eurasia, switched between farming and herding, and became violent raiders in response to severe drought in the Danube frontier provinces of the Roman empire, a new study argues.


Fig. 6. (A) Reconstructed June–August (JJA) self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) from 75 BCE to 2018 CE (from Büntgen et al. Reference Büntgen, Urban, Krusic, Rybníček, Kolář, Kyncl, Ač, Koňasová, Čáslavský, Esper, Wagner, Saurer, Tegel, Dobrovolný, Cherubini, Reinig and Trnka2021). The thick curve is a 50-year cubic smoothing spline of the annual values, and the circles show the 20 lowest and highest reconstructed values, respectively. The grey shading refers to the confidence limits after smoothing, and the dashed line represents the highly significant long-term drying trend. (B) A close-up of reconstructed JJA scPDSI from 350–500 CE, together with Hunnic raids and treaties with the Roman Empire, as documented in historical sources (see Table 1 for details). (Created by Ulf Büntgen.)








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