This appears to be at the moment the most celebrated Covid-19 study of all! As if the death count of Covid-19 is not already highly inflated (I blogged e.g. here, here about it), this so called Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (affiliated with University of Washington, Seattle, WA) claims a significant undercount! Preposterous!
That same so called Institute also claims that "Racism is a public health issue Fighting health inequity means fighting against racism. Black lives matter.".
Don't these ideologues love the universal lockdowns? The longer, the better! Any wild story is just good enough!
This so called Institute is trying very hard to make us believe that Covid-19 is like the 1918 Spanish flu: "“…Covid is going to rival Spanish flu at the global level in terms of the count, likely, before we see the end of this epidemic,” IHME director Christopher Murray told STAT reporter Helen Branswell and others. 675,000 Americans were believed to have died in the 1918 pandemic."
Apparently, IHME selected these two countries to make their point:
"... IHME estimates Russia had more than 593,000 deaths as of May 3, while only 109,334 had been officially reported.
Likewise, deaths in Mexico were calculated to be nearly 494,000 and not 174,000. ..."
Lots of nebulous/elastic and vage metrics and wishful thinking:
"... There are several reasons that have led us to adopt this new approach. These reasons include the fact that testing capacity varies markedly across countries and within countries over time, which means that the reported COVID-19 deaths as a proportion of all deaths due to COVID-19 also vary markedly across countries and within countries over time. ...
In other countries, such as Ecuador, Peru, and the Russian Federation, the discrepancy between reported deaths and analyses of death rates compared to expected death rates, sometimes referred to as “excess mortality,” ... Our approach to estimating the total COVID-19 death rate is based on measurement of the excess death rate during the pandemic week by week compared to what would have been expected based on past trends and seasonality."
In other countries, such as Ecuador, Peru, and the Russian Federation, the discrepancy between reported deaths and analyses of death rates compared to expected death rates, sometimes referred to as “excess mortality,” ... Our approach to estimating the total COVID-19 death rate is based on measurement of the excess death rate during the pandemic week by week compared to what would have been expected based on past trends and seasonality."
Here is what the CDC has to say about the Spanish Flue of 1918:
"... The 1918 influenza pandemic was the most severe pandemic in recent history. It was caused by an H1N1 virus with genes of avian origin ... It is estimated that about 500 million people or one-third of the world’s population became infected with this virus. The number of deaths was estimated to be at least 50 million worldwide ... Mortality was high in people younger than 5 years old, 20-40 years old, and 65 years and older. The high mortality in healthy people, including those in the 20-40 year age group, was a unique feature of this pandemic. ..."
Wold population around 1920 was only about 1.9 billion compared to roughly 8 billion today!
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