Sunday, January 12, 2025

Will Cuba’s communism Collapse? by Michael Rubin

Cuba libre!

"The collapse of Cuba’s communist regime could soon bring new chaos to America’s doorstep. ...

A Cuban surgeon I met said the leading cause of death among young Cubans is stabbings, with building collapses not far behind. Infrastructure has crumbled. ...

While Communist Party functionary Miguel Diaz-Canel Bermudez is Cuba’s titular president, most Cubans, both in government and outside, describe 93-year-old Raul Castro and 94-year-old former Vice President Jose Ramon Machado Ventura and his 92-year-old successor Ramiro Valdes Menendez as the real powers.  ...

Cuba is disintegrating. While Cubans no longer risk their lives en masse on rafts and rickety boats, visa-free travel to Nicaragua means Cubans can fly to Managua. Buses then shuttle them to the southern U.S. border. The Cuban Adjustment Act allows Cubans to gain permanent residency just 366 days after stepping foot in the U.S. In 2022 and 2023 alone, more than a million Cubans, 10% of the population, fled their country for good, many to the U.S. but others to Spain. Statistics are not yet available for 2024, but the hemorrhaging has continued.  ...

When Cuba’s shadow triumvirate dies, expect chaos to reign. Afro-Cubans will seek their due. Gangs will extort business, compete for turf, and resist the Cuban American community’s investment schemes.

So, too, will China, Venezuela, and Russia. The likelihood that Cuba becomes a second Haiti could be far more likely than a new Puerto Rico ..."

Is Trump Ready for Cuba’s Collapse? | American Enterprise Institute - AEI

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