Some of the latest research on business cycles: Recession by Tyler Goodspeed. Really!

Food for thought! Is this author offering more than trivia or well known tidbits?

Apparently, the author Tyler Goodspeed does not have an entry on Google Scholar (as of 8/4/2026, see screen shot below). Not a good sign!

That wars or post war periods or periods of great societal upheaval trigger booms or recessions (e.g. Great Depression) is a very old hat in economics!

The author claims "In fact, recessions have relatively little effect on the economy over time". Really! What is communism/socialism all about? Criticizing capitalism and its booms and busts! How many big government laws followed severe busts in industrialized countries to manage and control the economy?

That the author goes back 400 years in history is daring! What economic/statistical data do we really have going this far back in history. The author appears to prefer the unemployment rate for this argument. When were the first unemployment rate data published for industrialized countries? According to Google Search/AI for the UK first in 1888 and Germany in 1903.

The author also makes some very strong assumptions about economies: "several empirically testable and falsifiable hypotheses", which are dubious.

Caveat: I am not familiar with Tyler Goodspeed nor his publications.

"... economic historian Goodspeed discusses what triggers recessions and why war is the most prolific “serial killer” of economic expansions over the last 400 years. ...

Contrary to popular thinking, these “busts” are not the inevitable result of flaws in the economic “booms” that immediately precede them, and they’re not cyclical, or necessary, course correctives. In fact, recessions have relatively little effect [???] on the economy over time compared to periods of growth, says the book’s author, Tyler Goodspeed  ...

In reality, when I analyzed these 132 recessions going back to 1700, all of those hypotheses are rejected by the data [???]. All of them. ..."

Are we headed toward recession? Unpredictable. — Harvard Gazette "Economic historian rebuts various beliefs about cause, concerns around downturns, explains why expansions are more important anyway"

Book cover

Global temperatures may be closer to the “crucial” 1.5C warming threshold than previously thought. Really!

What a nonsense! What a pretense of knowledge and precision! Misanthropy on display!

Nobody e.g. knows exactly what the pre-industrial global temperatures were!!! Anybody, including PhD scientists, who make such claims are charlatans!

Then there was the Little Ice Age (which of course is denied and/or ignored by climate change fanatics) that only ended around 1850 or so! Would you not expect some warming after an ice age?

The ideology of "human-induced warming" [????] has warped many minds!

"Global temperatures may be closer to the “crucial” 1.5C warming threshold than previously thought, according to a new study of Antarctic ice cores suggesting that, in 2023, human-driven warming reached 1.49C above pre-industrial levels. Nature"

From the abstract:

"Assessing compliance with the human-induced warming goal in the Paris Agreement requires transparent, robust and timely metrics. Linearity between increases in atmospheric CO2 and temperature offers a framework that appears to satisfy these criteria, producing human-induced warming estimates that are at least 30% more certain than alternative methods. Here, for 2023, we estimate humans have caused a global increase of 1.49 ± 0.11 °C relative to a pre-1700 baseline."

Global Health NOW: Haiti Isolated and Imperiled; Stopping Polio in Gaza and Why It Matters; and STIs Slow Down in the U.S.

Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship (open access)

Fig. 1: HIW [human-induced warming] estimates. (Looks like another, phony hockey stick chart to me!)

The consequences of geoengineering is fueling record ocean and atmosphere warmth by forcing reduced maritime ship emissions

Is this not ironic and foolish at the same time! Those awful busybodies and their pretense of knowledge! The failures of our elites! When drastic government interventions become outright dangerous and demonstrate to be failures!

These are not unintended consequences! It was known, but ignored or dismissed by the elites! Then they call this euphemistically "geoengineering"!

Did this plus the enormous submarine volcano eruption in 2021/2022 contribute to the extremely hot summer and warm winter of 2023? You bet!

"... disappearing clouds known as ship tracks. Regulations imposed in 2020 by the United Nations’s International Maritime Organization (IMO) have cut ships’ sulfur pollution by more than 80% and improved air quality worldwide. The reduction has also lessened the effect of sulfate particles in seeding and brightening the distinctive low-lying, reflective clouds that follow in the wake of ships and help cool the planet. ...

By dramatically reducing the number of ship tracks, the planet has warmed up faster, several new studies have found. That trend is magnified in the Atlantic, where maritime traffic is particularly dense. In the shipping corridors, the increased light represents a 50% boost to the warming effect of human carbon emissions. It’s as if the world suddenly lost the cooling effect from a fairly large volcanic eruption each year, says Michael Diamond, an atmospheric scientist at Florida State University. ..."

‘We’re changing the clouds.’ An unintended test of geoengineering is fueling record ocean warmth | Science | AAAS

When will global warming actually hit the landmark 1.5 ºC limit? Really!

Oh again, another phony discussion about the infamous holy grail of 1.5 ºC limit! Global Warming is a hoax and Climate Change is a religion!

Inciting more alarmism and hysteria! By far, the worst propaganda and demagoguery of our time! This is no better than medieval superstition!!!

Nobody can measure global average temperatures (whatever that exactly is) with such accuracy! 1-2 degrees Celsius is well within measurement error or uncertainty! It is such a colossal pretense of knowledge (Friedrich Hayek)!

The standard reference "above pre-industrial temperatures" is so phony that it stinks! When did the last Ice Age end? About 1850!

"There’s a 66% chance that the annual global average temperature will hit 1.5 ºC above pre-industrial temperatures at some time in the next five years, according to a World Meteorological Organization report released on 17 May. Reaching 1.5 ºC of warming in a single year will be a landmark moment for the planet, which in 2022 was about 1.15 ºC warmer than in pre-industrial times. But it’s not quite the milestone most people mean when they talk about 1.5 ºC of warming — for that, we probably have about a decade to go. ..."

NEWS EXPLAINER When will global warming actually hit the landmark 1.5 ºC limit? The planet is on track to reach the 1.5 ºC average by the 2030s — although a new report suggests a single year will probably cross the line much sooner.

WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update (Target years: 2023-2027)

State of the Climate 2022 - The Global Warming Policy Foundation

Anybody with some common sense will see that minute changes as possible measurement errors or inaccuracies!

This accuracy of a few mm per year for sea level changes is a grotesque pretense of knowledge!

The Global Warming Hoax and Climate Change Religion is the greatest scam and scandal perpetrated on humanity in the last 50 years or more! I blogged here extensively about it! The scam is certainly big business for some! It is a convenient excuse for more and bigger government! When science succumbs to ideology and medieval superstition!

Here is an excerpt from the General Summary (page 7):

"Sea level

Sea level is monitored by satellite altimetry and by direct measurements using tide gauges situated along coasts. While the satellite-derived record suggests a global sea level rise of about 3.4mm per year or more, data from tide gauges all over the world suggest a stable average global sea-level rise of 1–2mm per year. The

measurements do not indicate any recent acceleration (or deceleration). The marked difference (a ratio of about 1:2) between the two datasets still has no universally accepted explanation, but it is known that satellite observations of sea level are complicated in areas near the coast (see, e.g., Vignudelli et al. 2019). Either way, for local coastal planning, the tide-gauge data is preferred, as explained later in this report."

State of the Climate 2022 - The Global Warming Policy Foundation

Global Mean Absolute Sea Levels are rising. Really!

These global sea measurements in millimeters per year are highly suspect! This is an extraordinary pretense of knowledge and accuracy! What about measurement errors etc.? These are markings of pseudoscience!

This is a nice case where sound skepticism towards science is very much justified!

The coastline of mainland China is about 18,000 km long. These scientists used a total of 12 stations along the coast or one station per 1,500 km on average!

"The sea level change at 12 collocated TG and GNSS stations along the Chinese coast are first analyzed by TG + GNSS data."

"... The results show that the relative sea level rise along the Chinese coast varied from 2.61 ± 0.76 to 5.56 ± 0.70 mm/yr, while the effect of vertical land motion (VLM) ranged from −1.46 ± 0.30 to 1.07 ± 0.38 mm/yr. After correcting the effect of the VLM, the ASL rise ranged from 2.51 ± 0.86 to 5.03 ± 0.60 mm/yr, with a mean rate of 3.94 ± 0.88 mm/yr, which was 0.7 mm/yr higher than the global average. ..."

"As a consequence of climate change, the global mean sea level from tide gauges and satellite altimetry observations increased from 1.4 mm/yr over the period 1901–1990 to 3.2 mm/yr over the period 1993–2015 to 3.6 mm/yr over the period 2006–2015. An improved understanding of sea level rise is essential for the safety of society, the economy and the environment."

Absolute Sea Level Changes Along the Coast of China From Tide Gauges, GNSS, and Satellite Altimetry - Zhou - 2022 - Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans - Wiley Online Library (no public access)

Stanford University: We Can Restore the Earth's Climate If We Want to -- And We Should

Stanford University promotes the Global Warming hoax and climate change religion!

What an fool! What a pretense of knowledge!

Mark Levin: This Is the Death of Science

Recommendable!

Exactly, they can not even forecast the weather in two weeks from now, so how can they forecast climate 100 years ahead. What if Global Warming/Climate Change is caused by periodic variations of the activity of the sun? 

Health disparities for Filipinxs are disguised by data aggregation

Here is an example of a deeply ideological opinion piece and an absurd one as well published by STAT News, which is owned by Boston Globe Media! Such lousy journalism makes you puke!

The author of this is young PhD in internal medicine participating in the UCLA National Clinician Scholars Program! What a smirking arrogant looking know nothing!

The opening paragraph of this article reads:

"As some nurses across the country choose to stop working rather than comply with vaccine mandates, some hospitals are recruiting nurses in the Philippines to fill their staffing gaps. That will only further heighten the burden borne by Filipinx [Whatever that means???] nurses, and other Filipinx health care workers, in the United States.

Since the outset of the pandemic, it has become abundantly clear that social and economic factors shaped by the U.S.’s history of structural racism have caused disproportionate numbers of deaths among racial and ethnic minority groups due to Covid-19. ..."

I don't think I have to read any further than that otherwise I waste my time!

About Stat:

"STAT delivers trusted and authoritative journalism about health, medicine, and the life sciences." A laughable statement!

Health disparities for Filipinxs are disguised by data aggregation - STAT

"Carlos Irwin A. Oronce is a primary care physician, a research fellow at the UCLA David Geffen School of Medicine and the VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System in Los Angeles, and president-elect of the Filipinx/a/o Community Health Association. The views expressed here are his alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of his employers."

Pseudoscience: IPCC climate report: Earth is warmer than it’s been in 125,000 years

The prestigious Nature journal is actively promoting the Global Warming hoax and the Climate Change religion!

The IPCC is a bunch of pseudoscientists engaged in alarmism! They are cherry picking the data that borders on fraud! This is a horrible pretense of knowledge and precision! It is almost pure demagoguery!

The most recent ice age was the Little Ice Age from about 1300-1850 AD! What about e.g. the heat island effect (see also my blog post)?

"... Earth’s global surface temperature has increased by around 1.1 °C compared with the average in 1850–1900 — a level that hasn’t been witnessed since 125,000 years ago, before the most recent ice age. ..."

Why not during the early summer? Who knows exactly what the coverage of sea ice was 1000 years ago?

"... The coverage of sea ice in the Arctic during the late summer has been lower over the past decade than it has been in at least 1,000 years. The ongoing global retreat of glaciers is unparalleled in at least 2,000 years. ..."

IPCC climate report: Earth is warmer than it’s been in 125,000 years

Pseudoscience: Why we need to simulate the entire U.S. health system

The U.S. healthcare is far too complex that it can be modeled with existing means unless the healthcare sector will be more socialized then it already is. The author of that opinion piece may suffer from megalomania!

Only totalitarians and central planners would even make such a stupid request! What a hubris of the experts! What a pretense of knowledge! Beware of the masters of the universe!

Opinion: Why we need to simulate the entire U.S. health system authored by "Gopal Sarma [has authored less than 15 papers and is cited only 239 times] is a physician-scientist at the Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, where he leads strategy and operations for its Machine Learning for Health initiative."

Studien zu Kippelementen: Fällt ein Stein, beginnt das riskante Klima-Domino

Wie die deutschen Bürger täglich auf Neue für dumm verkauft werden! Apokalypse, drohender Weltuntergang ... Als ob die Journalisten u.a. Intellektuelle in Deutschland einer Sekte angehören!

Und wieder mal, wie so oft, werden fragwürdige Klimamodellrechnungen für diesen Unsinn herangezogen! Wieder mal wird die beruechtigte 1.5 Grad Celsius Kriterium herangezogen. 1.5 Grad Celsius globaler Anstieg seit vorindustrieller Zeit ist beinahe so viel wie ein Messfehler oder entspricht der zu erwartenden Messungenauigkeit! Hier wird selbst von Wissenschaftlern eine Präzision vorgegaukelt die so nicht existiert!

Die Wissenschaftler präsentieren Modellrechnungen von 400-1200 Jahren in die Zukunft! Absolut lachhaft!

"... as Ende der Welt müsse es nicht bedeuten, so schrieben noch im April vier britische Wissenschaftler nach der Auswertung ihrer Klimodellrechnungen in der Zeitschrift Nature, wenn bestimmte kritische Schwellenwerte für die globale Erwärmung überschritten würden – das System Erde könne durchaus wieder stabilisiert werden. ..."

"... To demonstrate this, we consider transparently simple models of tipping elements with prescribed thresholds, driven by global warming trajectories that peak before returning to stabilize at a global warming level of 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level. ..."

Studien zu Kippelementen: Fällt ein Stein, beginnt das riskante Klima-Domino Die Eispanzer an den Polen, der Amazonas-Regenwald und die Ozeanströme – wie die Kippelemente den Klimawandel in noch gefährlichere Fahrwasser bringen können, verdeutlicht eine neue, brisante Studie.

National Geographic: The big question: Do We Have To Give Up Meat To Fight Climate Change?

National Geographic is another purveyor of phony ideologies! They want to indoctrinate you to give up on meat eating! Great example for the considerable pretense of knowledge by our elitist and arrogant intellectuals!

"... Gentle reader, you decide. Except how can you really? ...
In the western United States, most of which is in persistent drought and facing a parched future, a third of all consumed water is used to irrigate crops to feed cattle. Air pollution from meat production causes thousands of deaths in the U.S. a year, ... In Brazil, cattle ranching and soy production for livestock feed are major drivers of Amazon deforestation—just one sign that feeding 9 or 10 billion people an American carnivore’s diet is not going to work. There’s not enough planet for that. ..."

National Geographic | Breaking News

A global environmental crisis 42,000 years ago

It appears that humans are finally beginning to understand how dynamic the geology of the earth is over thousands, ten thousands or even hundred thousands of years.

Apparently, geomagnetic reversals are much more frequent than previously thought and their impact on climate are long lasting (hundreds if not thousands of years) and very dramatic!

Given the still very sketchy knowledge we have about geomagnetic reversals it is possible that we are approaching or entering a phase the next geomagnetic reversal. Scientists so far distinguish between geomagnetic reversals and geomagnetic excursions. "Excursion events typically only last a few thousand to a few tens of thousands of years, and often involve declines in field strength to between 0 and 20% of normal."

The last major geomagnetic reversal happened around 780,000 years ago. The last geomagnetic reversal occurred roughly 42,000 years ago. Scientists have documented about 12 geomagnetic reversals during the last 780,000 years. That translates to a minor geomagnetic reversal event roughly every 65,000 years on average. If you assume for a moment that there were perhaps yet to be discovered minor geomagnetic excursions over that period, then another minor geomagnetic reversal event might be imminent. 

"At present, the overall geomagnetic field is becoming weaker; the present strong deterioration corresponds to a 10–15% decline over the last 150 years and has accelerated in the past several years; geomagnetic intensity has declined almost continuously from a maximum 35% above the modern value achieved approximately 2,000 years ago. The rate of decrease and the current strength are within the normal range of variation, as shown by the record of past magnetic fields recorded in rocks. ...

The Earth's magnetic north pole is drifting from northern Canada towards Siberia with a presently accelerating rate—10 kilometres (6.2 mi) per year at the beginning of the 20th century, up to 40 kilometres (25 mi) per year in 2003,[23] and since then has only accelerated." (Source)

"Geological archives record multiple reversals of Earth’s magnetic poles, but the global impacts of these events, if any, remain unclear. Uncertain radiocarbon calibration has limited investigation of the potential effects of the last major magnetic inversion, known as the Laschamps Excursion [41 to 42 thousand years ago (ka)]. We use ancient New Zealand kauri trees (Agathis australis) to develop a detailed record of atmospheric radiocarbon levels across the Laschamps Excursion. We precisely characterize the geomagnetic reversal and perform global chemistry-climate modeling and detailed radiocarbon dating of paleoenvironmental records to investigate impacts. We find that geomagnetic field minima ~42 ka, in combination with Grand Solar Minima, caused substantial changes in atmospheric ozone concentration and circulation, driving synchronous global climate shifts that caused major environmental changes, extinction events, and transformations in the archaeological record."

A global environmental crisis 42,000 years ago | Science

Credits: Klimaschau #36: Sonnenaktivität steuert Temperaturmuster im Pazifik, Sonne macht Klima

Pseudoscience: Harvard Study says Antarctic Ice Sheet melt to lift sea level higher by an additional one meter in 1000 years

Again, Harvard University is a purveyor of the Global Warming hoax, and the Climate Change religion! According to past alarmist forecasts a number of islands should already have been submerged, but it did not happen!

We cannot even forecast weather accurately beyond 48 hours! (Make no mistake, weather forecasting is of similar complexity and difficulty as climate or geophysical modeling)

Shame on the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) for publishing such pseudoscience!

"... The new predictions show that in the case of a total collapse of the ice sheet, global sea-level rise estimates would be amplified by an additional meter, about 3 feet, within the next 1,000 years. ...
“If the West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapsed, the most widely cited estimate of the resulting global mean sea-level rise that would result is 3.2 meters,” ...  “What we’ve shown is that the water-expulsion mechanism will add an additional meter, or 30 percent, to the total.” ..."

You read this correctly! A one meter additional increase simulated over 1,000 years! How ludicrous is this! This is modern charlatanry! What an extreme example of the pretense of knowledge!

Here is what the senior author and nutty Harvard professor said:

"... “Every published projection of sea-level rise due to melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet that has been based on climate modeling, whether the projection extends to the end of this century or longer into the future, is going to have to be revised upward because of [our] work,” said Jerry X. Mitrovica, the Frank B. Baird Jr. Professor of Science in the Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences and a senior author on the paper “Every single one.” ..."

This nutty Harvard professor is fairly highly cited according to Google Scholar: 24304 total lifetime citations as of 5/4/2021. However, he is also a paper mill with about 519 total papers! Quantity instead of quality!

Study says Antarctic Ice Sheet melt to lift sea level higher than thought – Harvard Gazette New calculations show the rise due to warming would be 30% above forecasts

Presumably, this is the link to the underlying research article (the Harvard Gazette article omitted the link):

Rapid postglacial rebound amplifies global sea level rise following West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse (open access)

Economy-destroying climate plans target nonexistent 'crisis' by James Taylor

Recommendable!

"... The notion of an imminent climate crisis is a carefully crafted delusion, plain and simple. The more that objective science has debunked alarmist climate claims, the more that climate activists and their media allies have ratcheted up their rhetoric and sought to deflect attention away from real scientific evidence. Here are a few important scientific facts:

During most of the period since the dawn of human civilization, global temperatures have been significantly higher than they are today. And even without modern technologies, humans survived and thrived in those warmer conditions ... NASA satellites have documented a dramatic greening of the earth in recent decades, as more atmospheric carbon dioxide substantially assists plant growth. NASA satellites have also documented that wildfires are burning fewer acres of land as the earth’s atmosphere modestly warms. ...
The data show alarmists’ doomsday predictions have consistently failed to materialize. Even the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, an organization dedicated to spreading climate change alarmism, admits it has low confidence that climate change is having any measurable negative global impacts regarding hurricanes, tornadoes, droughts, floods, and other natural disasters. More importantly, the actual scientific data similarly show little or no real-world negative impacts."

Economy-destroying climate plans target nonexistent 'crisis' - Washington Times

Friedrich August von Hayek: The Pretence of Knowledge

Recommendable! Unfortunately, his 1974 Nobel Prize lecture is filled too much with what sounds like trivialities, banalities or ramblings! Extremely long sentences are not helpful! Hayek would have been so much more influential and effective had he more rigorously applied Occam's razor to his tome of writings!

"... We [economists] have indeed at the moment little cause for pride: as a profession we have made a mess of things. ... 
This is particularly true of our theories accounting for the determination of the systems of relative prices and wages that will form themselves on a well functioning market. Into the determination of these prices and wages there will enter the effects of particular information possessed by every one of the participants in the market process – a sum of facts which in their totality cannot be known to the scientific observer, or to any other single brain. It is indeed the source of the superiority of the market order, and the reason why, when it is not suppressed by the powers of government, it regularly displaces other types of order, that in the resulting allocation of resources more of the knowledge of particular facts will be utilized which exists only dispersed among uncounted persons, than any one person can possess. ... 

Before I continue with my immediate concern, the effects of all this on the employment policies currently pursued, allow me to define more specifically the inherent limitations of our numerical knowledge which are so often overlooked. ... But, as Vilfredo Pareto, one of the founders of this theory, clearly stated, its purpose cannot be “to arrive at a numerical calculation of prices”, because, as he said, it would be “absurd” to assume that we could ascertain all the data. Indeed, the chief point was already seen by those remarkable anticipators of modern economics, the Spanish schoolmen of the sixteenth century [presumably he is referring to the School of Salamanca], who emphasized that what they called pretium mathematicum, the mathematical price, depended on so many particular circumstances that it could never be known to man but was known only to God. I sometimes wish that our mathematical economists would take this to heart. ...

There may be few instances in which the superstition that only measurable magnitudes can be important has done positive harm in the economic field: but the present inflation and employment problems [1970s stagflation] are a very serious one. Its effect has been that what is probably the true cause of extensive unemployment has been disregarded by the scientistically minded majority of economists, because its operation could not be confirmed by directly observable relations between measurable magnitudes, and that an almost exclusive concentration on quantitatively measurable surface phenomena has produced a policy which has made matters worse. ...

In fact, in the case discussed, the very measures which the dominant “macro-economic” theory [Keynesian economics] has recommended as a remedy for unemployment, namely the increase of aggregate demand, have become a cause of a very extensive misallocation of resources which is likely to make later large-scale unemployment inevitable. The continuous injection of additional amounts of money at points of the economic system where it creates a temporary demand which must cease when the increase of the quantity of money stops or slows down ...
even if the true scientists should all recognize the limitations of what they can do in the field of human affairs, so long as the public expects more there will always be some who will pretend, and perhaps honestly believe, that they can do more to meet popular demands than is really in their power. It is often difficult enough for the expert, and certainly in many instances impossible for the layman, to distinguish between legitimate and illegitimate claims advanced in the name of science. The enormous publicity recently given by the media to a report pronouncing in the name of science on The Limits to Growth [the junk science produced by the Club of Rome of the 1970s and 1980s, in the 21st century it is Global Warming hoax and Climate Change religion], and the silence of the same media about the devastating criticism this report has received from the competent experts6, must make one feel somewhat apprehensive about the use to which the prestige of science can be put. But it is by no means only in the field of economics that far-reaching claims are made on behalf of a more scientific direction of all human activities and the desirability of replacing spontaneous processes by “conscious human control”.

... The recognition of the insuperable limits to his knowledge ought indeed to teach the student of society a lesson of humility which should guard him against becoming an accomplice in men’s fatal striving to control society – a striving which makes him not only a tyrant over his fellows, but which may well make him the destroyer of a civilization which no brain has designed but which has grown from the free efforts of millions of individuals. ..."

Friedrich August von Hayek - Prize Lecture: The Pretence of Knowledge

Media Never Holds Climate Alarmists Accountable for Dire Predictions

Recommendable! Just a quick reminder that history is littered with many false, apocalyptic prophecies!

"... Take biologist Paul R. Ehrlich, who wrote the epic 1968 manifesto of error “The Population Bomb,” in which he predicted that “In the 1970s the world will undergo famines—hundreds of millions are going to start to death” from overpopulation. Wrong. ...

On May 4, 1989, Ehrlich warned of “rapid” climate change, that “we could expect to lose all of Florida, Washington D.C., and much of the Los Angeles Basin. … We’ll be in rising waters with no ark in sight.”

They repeated this disaster-movie routine on Jan. 11, 1990. Ehrlich claimed that when the ice sheet melts in Antarctica, the sea level would rise “not … 1 to 3 feet in a century but … 10 or 20 feet in a much shorter time.” He added: The Supreme Court would be flooded. You could tie your boat to the Washington Monument. And storm surges would make the Capitol unusable.”

Did any of this turn out to be true over the last 30 years? ...

Does anyone remember the “enormous calamities” experienced by the human race since then?

This point is hammered again in a new book by Marc Morano titled “Green Fraud: Why the Green New Deal Is Even Worse Than You Think.” ...
These days, the hype machine celebrates radicals such as Swedish teenager Greta Thunberg [Blogged e.g. here about her. Thunberg is a case of child abuse and exploitation to style her like Joan of Arc], who said: “We are in the beginning of a mass extinction, and all you can talk about is money and fairy tales of economic growth. How dare you!” ..."

Media Never Holds Climate Alarmists Accountable for Dire Predictions

Klimamodelle des IPCC schießen über das Ziel hinaus

Wer an die 100 jährigen Prognosen von Klimamodellen glaubt, glaubt auch an den Weihnachtsmann! Wir können noch nicht mal das Wetter  für 48 Stunden genau prognostizieren (Die Komplexität von Wetter- und Klimamodellen ist vergleichbar und sie sind eng verwandt)!

Die Propaganda und Demagogie, die mit dem Global Warming hoax und der Climate Change religion einhergeht ist unglaublich. Debunked and destined for the dustbin of history!

"... Der Weltklimarat IPCC plant für das kommende Jahr die Veröffentlichung des 6. Klimazustandsberichts. Im Vorfeld erstellten Wissenschaftlergruppen 27 Klimasimulationen, auf deren Basis die zu erwartende Erwärmung bis zum Ende des Jahrhunderts prognostiziert wird. Bei einer Qualitäts-Überprüfung dieser Klimamodelle zeigte sich nun jedoch, dass die Ergebnisse viele dieser Simulationen offenbar nicht zuverlässig sind. Forscher der University of Michigan und des Nationalen Zentrums für Atmosphärenwissenschaft in Boulder entdeckten bei einer Kalibrierungsuntersuchung, dass etliche der Modelle unrealistisch hohe Erwärmungsbeträge errechnen. Sie reagieren also zu empfindlich auf CO2. ..."

4. Ausgabe der Klimaschau: Klimamodelle des IPCC schießen über das Ziel hinaus - Kalte Sonne

Die Welt säuft ab…wirklich?

Hysterie und Alarmismus kennt keine Grenzen! Einfältige und Leichtgläubige finden sich immer!

Den Anstieg der Weltmeere zu vermessen ist beinahe unmöglich mit dem gegenwärtigen Stand der Technik und Wissenschaft. Ob die Ozeane um 2-5 Millimeter pro Jahr ansteigen ist vergleichbar mit einem Messfehler!

This is a pretense of knowledge (Vorwand des Wissens)!

Die Welt säuft ab…wirklich? - Kalte Sonne „Der Spiegel“ hat einen Haus-und Hof-Kolumnisten in Klimafragen: Stefan Rahmstorf (SR) vom PIK Potsdam. Sein neuester Streich: „Warum der Meeresspiegel immer schneller steigt“. Er schreibt in der Einleitung:

„Die Anstiegsgeschwindigkeit hat sich in dieser Zeit mehr als verdoppelt, von 2,1 auf 4,8 Millimeter pro Jahr.“